Recent polls indicate incumbent Sen. Ed Markey has widened his lead over Rep. Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, with the latest University of New Hampshire survey showing 63% to 28% among likely voters and similar results from Suffolk and UMass Amherst. Markey has consolidated backing among progressives, socialists, and liberals through endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, while Moulton draws more moderate support but trails even among some veterans. Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and Markey’s age has not closed the gap, as many voters prioritize Markey’s legislative record and ideological alignment. With the Sept. 1 primary days away, trader pricing on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout among Democratic factions and whether late shifts could compress or expand the spread beyond the current polling range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMassachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Moulton <5% 49%
Markey 30–35% 20%
Markey 15–20% 19%
Markey 5–10% 17.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
Markey 40%+
3%
Markey 35–40%
7%
Markey 30–35%
13%
Markey 25–30%
37%
Markey 20–25%
42%
Markey 15–20%
25%
Markey 10–15%
16%
Markey 5–10%
18%
Markey <5%
3%
Moulton <5%
49%
Moulton 5%+
1%
Moulton <5% 49%
Markey 30–35% 20%
Markey 15–20% 19%
Markey 5–10% 17.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
Markey 40%+
$188 Wol.
3%
Markey 35–40%
$558 Wol.
7%
Markey 30–35%
$744 Wol.
13%
Markey 25–30%
$147 Wol.
37%
Markey 20–25%
$354 Wol.
42%
Markey 15–20%
$546 Wol.
25%
Markey 10–15%
$244 Wol.
16%
Markey 5–10%
$187 Wol.
18%
Markey <5%
$141 Wol.
3%
Moulton <5%
$166 Wol.
49%
Moulton 5%+
$264 Wol.
1%
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls indicate incumbent Sen. Ed Markey has widened his lead over Rep. Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, with the latest University of New Hampshire survey showing 63% to 28% among likely voters and similar results from Suffolk and UMass Amherst. Markey has consolidated backing among progressives, socialists, and liberals through endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, while Moulton draws more moderate support but trails even among some veterans. Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and Markey’s age has not closed the gap, as many voters prioritize Markey’s legislative record and ideological alignment. With the Sept. 1 primary days away, trader pricing on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout among Democratic factions and whether late shifts could compress or expand the spread beyond the current polling range.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,538Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.sec.state.ma.us/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls indicate incumbent Sen. Ed Markey has widened his lead over Rep. Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, with the latest University of New Hampshire survey showing 63% to 28% among likely voters and similar results from Suffolk and UMass Amherst. Markey has consolidated backing among progressives, socialists, and liberals through endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, while Moulton draws more moderate support but trails even among some veterans. Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and Markey’s age has not closed the gap, as many voters prioritize Markey’s legislative record and ideological alignment. With the Sept. 1 primary days away, trader pricing on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout among Democratic factions and whether late shifts could compress or expand the spread beyond the current polling range.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$3,538Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.sec.state.ma.us/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls indicate incumbent Sen. Ed Markey has widened his lead over Rep. Seth Moulton in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, with the latest University of New Hampshire survey showing 63% to 28% among likely voters and similar results from Suffolk and UMass Amherst. Markey has consolidated backing among progressives, socialists, and liberals through endorsements from Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, while Moulton draws more moderate support but trails even among some veterans. Moulton’s emphasis on generational change and Markey’s age has not closed the gap, as many voters prioritize Markey’s legislative record and ideological alignment. With the Sept. 1 primary days away, trader pricing on victory margins reflects uncertainty over turnout among Democratic factions and whether late shifts could compress or expand the spread beyond the current polling range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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