Democrats currently hold three of Nevada’s four House seats, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford positioned for reelection in districts rated safe, lean, or toss-up Democratic by outlets including Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections. The open northern 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains rated safe or likely Republican despite June primaries, recent campaign polls showing Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson within a few points of Republican David Flippo, and modest forecaster shifts toward greater competitiveness. Trader consensus favoring exactly three seats reflects the structural Republican advantage in the 2nd alongside limited evidence of a broader shift capable of flipping the seat, while the modest probability on four seats tracks the narrow path for a Democratic gain in this battleground map ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3 71%
4 23%
2 5.9%
1 <1%
$16,425 Wol.
$16,425 Wol.
Jan 4, 2027
0
1%
1
1%
2
6%
3
71%
4
23%
3 71%
4 23%
2 5.9%
1 <1%
$16,425 Wol.
$16,425 Wol.
Jan 4, 2027
0
$1,214 Wol.
1%
1
$1,272 Wol.
1%
2
$3,235 Wol.
6%
3
$8,104 Wol.
71%
4
$2,601 Wol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold three of Nevada’s four House seats, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford positioned for reelection in districts rated safe, lean, or toss-up Democratic by outlets including Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections. The open northern 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains rated safe or likely Republican despite June primaries, recent campaign polls showing Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson within a few points of Republican David Flippo, and modest forecaster shifts toward greater competitiveness. Trader consensus favoring exactly three seats reflects the structural Republican advantage in the 2nd alongside limited evidence of a broader shift capable of flipping the seat, while the modest probability on four seats tracks the narrow path for a Democratic gain in this battleground map ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,425Data zakończenia
Jan 5, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats currently hold three of Nevada’s four House seats, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford positioned for reelection in districts rated safe, lean, or toss-up Democratic by outlets including Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections. The open northern 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains rated safe or likely Republican despite June primaries, recent campaign polls showing Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson within a few points of Republican David Flippo, and modest forecaster shifts toward greater competitiveness. Trader consensus favoring exactly three seats reflects the structural Republican advantage in the 2nd alongside limited evidence of a broader shift capable of flipping the seat, while the modest probability on four seats tracks the narrow path for a Democratic gain in this battleground map ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$16,425Data zakończenia
Jan 5, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Democrats currently hold three of Nevada’s four House seats, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford positioned for reelection in districts rated safe, lean, or toss-up Democratic by outlets including Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections. The open northern 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains rated safe or likely Republican despite June primaries, recent campaign polls showing Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson within a few points of Republican David Flippo, and modest forecaster shifts toward greater competitiveness. Trader consensus favoring exactly three seats reflects the structural Republican advantage in the 2nd alongside limited evidence of a broader shift capable of flipping the seat, while the modest probability on four seats tracks the narrow path for a Democratic gain in this battleground map ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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