Russia's liberal Yabloko party, the only registered force openly campaigning on an anti-war platform for the September 2026 State Duma elections, consistently polls at 2-3 percent in recent surveys, well below the 5 percent threshold required for proportional representation seats. Administrative measures have barred dozens of its candidates from ballots, while legal challenges, including a pending Supreme Court case filed by the Rodina party, add further uncertainty ahead of the vote. These constraints, combined with the party's marginal historical results since 2003 and the broader dominance of pro-Kremlin forces in Russia's managed multiparty system, underpin trader expectations that Yabloko will fall short. Recent CEC registration provides ballot access but has not shifted underlying support dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
9% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
9% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's liberal Yabloko party, the only registered force openly campaigning on an anti-war platform for the September 2026 State Duma elections, consistently polls at 2-3 percent in recent surveys, well below the 5 percent threshold required for proportional representation seats. Administrative measures have barred dozens of its candidates from ballots, while legal challenges, including a pending Supreme Court case filed by the Rodina party, add further uncertainty ahead of the vote. These constraints, combined with the party's marginal historical results since 2003 and the broader dominance of pro-Kremlin forces in Russia's managed multiparty system, underpin trader expectations that Yabloko will fall short. Recent CEC registration provides ballot access but has not shifted underlying support dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,155Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's liberal Yabloko party, the only registered force openly campaigning on an anti-war platform for the September 2026 State Duma elections, consistently polls at 2-3 percent in recent surveys, well below the 5 percent threshold required for proportional representation seats. Administrative measures have barred dozens of its candidates from ballots, while legal challenges, including a pending Supreme Court case filed by the Rodina party, add further uncertainty ahead of the vote. These constraints, combined with the party's marginal historical results since 2003 and the broader dominance of pro-Kremlin forces in Russia's managed multiparty system, underpin trader expectations that Yabloko will fall short. Recent CEC registration provides ballot access but has not shifted underlying support dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$4,255Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's liberal Yabloko party, the only registered force openly campaigning on an anti-war platform for the September 2026 State Duma elections, consistently polls at 2-3 percent in recent surveys, well below the 5 percent threshold required for proportional representation seats. Administrative measures have barred dozens of its candidates from ballots, while legal challenges, including a pending Supreme Court case filed by the Rodina party, add further uncertainty ahead of the vote. These constraints, combined with the party's marginal historical results since 2003 and the broader dominance of pro-Kremlin forces in Russia's managed multiparty system, underpin trader expectations that Yabloko will fall short. Recent CEC registration provides ballot access but has not shifted underlying support dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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