Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership as a core strategic objective, reinforced by ongoing allied pledges of €70 billion in military support for both 2026 and 2027 and recent NATO-Ukraine Council engagements focused on air defense and interoperability. Official Ukrainian statements continue to describe the path to full Euro-Atlantic integration as irreversible, with no verified diplomatic concessions on neutrality emerging from recent U.S.-facilitated talks or battlefield developments. Trader consensus at 92.5% against an agreement to forgo accession before 2027 reflects these structural positions and the absence of any binding neutrality commitments within the resolution window, though late-stage negotiations or major shifts in external pressure could still alter the outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano8% szansa
$153,490 Wol.
$153,490 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
8% szansa
$153,490 Wol.
$153,490 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership as a core strategic objective, reinforced by ongoing allied pledges of €70 billion in military support for both 2026 and 2027 and recent NATO-Ukraine Council engagements focused on air defense and interoperability. Official Ukrainian statements continue to describe the path to full Euro-Atlantic integration as irreversible, with no verified diplomatic concessions on neutrality emerging from recent U.S.-facilitated talks or battlefield developments. Trader consensus at 92.5% against an agreement to forgo accession before 2027 reflects these structural positions and the absence of any binding neutrality commitments within the resolution window, though late-stage negotiations or major shifts in external pressure could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$153,490Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership as a core strategic objective, reinforced by ongoing allied pledges of €70 billion in military support for both 2026 and 2027 and recent NATO-Ukraine Council engagements focused on air defense and interoperability. Official Ukrainian statements continue to describe the path to full Euro-Atlantic integration as irreversible, with no verified diplomatic concessions on neutrality emerging from recent U.S.-facilitated talks or battlefield developments. Trader consensus at 92.5% against an agreement to forgo accession before 2027 reflects these structural positions and the absence of any binding neutrality commitments within the resolution window, though late-stage negotiations or major shifts in external pressure could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Wolumen
$153,490Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains its constitutional commitment to NATO membership as a core strategic objective, reinforced by ongoing allied pledges of €70 billion in military support for both 2026 and 2027 and recent NATO-Ukraine Council engagements focused on air defense and interoperability. Official Ukrainian statements continue to describe the path to full Euro-Atlantic integration as irreversible, with no verified diplomatic concessions on neutrality emerging from recent U.S.-facilitated talks or battlefield developments. Trader consensus at 92.5% against an agreement to forgo accession before 2027 reflects these structural positions and the absence of any binding neutrality commitments within the resolution window, though late-stage negotiations or major shifts in external pressure could still alter the outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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