Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the 95.5% trader consensus, due to his long tenure since 2009, prior service as governor, and a substantial fundraising edge with over $16 million in cash on hand compared to Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa’s roughly $53,000. Virginia’s partisan lean and consistent polling margins of 17–20 points or more reinforce this outlook, as do nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the August primary, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and resources. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few signs of such movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVirginia Senate Election Winner
Virginia Senate Election Winner
$23,148 Wol.
$23,148 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
5%
$23,148 Wol.
$23,148 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Warner (D)
$15,894 Wol.
96%
Bert Mizusawa (R)
$7,254 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the 95.5% trader consensus, due to his long tenure since 2009, prior service as governor, and a substantial fundraising edge with over $16 million in cash on hand compared to Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa’s roughly $53,000. Virginia’s partisan lean and consistent polling margins of 17–20 points or more reinforce this outlook, as do nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the August primary, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and resources. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,148Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the 95.5% trader consensus, due to his long tenure since 2009, prior service as governor, and a substantial fundraising edge with over $16 million in cash on hand compared to Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa’s roughly $53,000. Virginia’s partisan lean and consistent polling margins of 17–20 points or more reinforce this outlook, as do nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the August primary, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and resources. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$23,148Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the 95.5% trader consensus, due to his long tenure since 2009, prior service as governor, and a substantial fundraising edge with over $16 million in cash on hand compared to Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa’s roughly $53,000. Virginia’s partisan lean and consistent polling margins of 17–20 points or more reinforce this outlook, as do nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solidly Democratic. Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the August primary, faces structural barriers including limited visibility and resources. Early voting begins September 18 ahead of the November 3 election. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows few signs of such movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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