OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
$11,553 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Hodge Conjecture
35%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
30%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
27%
Beal's Conjecture
19%
Collatz Conjecture
16%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
15%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
15%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
14%
Yang-Mills
12%
Twin Prime Conjecture
12%
Odd Perfect Number
11%
Riemann Hypothesis
10%
Legendre's Conjecture
4%
P versus NP
3%
$11,553 Wol.
Hodge Conjecture
$2,211 Wol.
35%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
$1,980 Wol.
30%
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
$189 Wol.
27%
Beal's Conjecture
$250 Wol.
19%
Collatz Conjecture
$498 Wol.
16%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
$475 Wol.
15%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
$476 Wol.
15%
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
$395 Wol.
14%
Yang-Mills
$200 Wol.
12%
Twin Prime Conjecture
$284 Wol.
12%
Odd Perfect Number
$1,103 Wol.
11%
Riemann Hypothesis
$1,394 Wol.
10%
Legendre's Conjecture
$1,105 Wol.
4%
P versus NP
$993 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,553Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$11,553Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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