Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone release cadence, with premium models consistently launching each September, underpins the 96.2% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants are on track for a fall debut alongside a new foldable model, while any base-model delay to spring 2027 does not alter the overall 2026 timeline. Traders see no credible signals of cancellation, major technical setbacks, or regulatory blocks that would halt the flagship rollout. Potential last-minute variables such as component shortages or minor schedule tweaks remain low-probability risks given Apple’s proven execution record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$112,537 Wol.
$112,537 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$112,537 Wol.
$112,537 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone release cadence, with premium models consistently launching each September, underpins the 96.2% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants are on track for a fall debut alongside a new foldable model, while any base-model delay to spring 2027 does not alter the overall 2026 timeline. Traders see no credible signals of cancellation, major technical setbacks, or regulatory blocks that would halt the flagship rollout. Potential last-minute variables such as component shortages or minor schedule tweaks remain low-probability risks given Apple’s proven execution record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$112,537Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone release cadence, with premium models consistently launching each September, underpins the 96.2% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants are on track for a fall debut alongside a new foldable model, while any base-model delay to spring 2027 does not alter the overall 2026 timeline. Traders see no credible signals of cancellation, major technical setbacks, or regulatory blocks that would halt the flagship rollout. Potential last-minute variables such as component shortages or minor schedule tweaks remain low-probability risks given Apple’s proven execution record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$112,537Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone release cadence, with premium models consistently launching each September, underpins the 96.2% implied probability for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants are on track for a fall debut alongside a new foldable model, while any base-model delay to spring 2027 does not alter the overall 2026 timeline. Traders see no credible signals of cancellation, major technical setbacks, or regulatory blocks that would halt the flagship rollout. Potential last-minute variables such as component shortages or minor schedule tweaks remain low-probability risks given Apple’s proven execution record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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