Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps recently recaptured 150–240 square kilometers north of Lyman, dismantling a Russian salient built over 18 months as a northern route toward Sloviansk and reversing prior Russian positioning in the sector. Russian forces continue glide-bomb and drone strikes on the city itself, including a September 11 attack that killed one civilian, while conducting limited assaults near Ozernе and attempting infiltration east of the city. Ukrainian counterattacks have slowed or reversed incremental Russian gains along multiple approaches, including near Mykolaivka and Rai-Oleksandrivka, leaving Russian units several kilometers from the urban outskirts amid high attrition and ongoing command adjustments on both sides. These battlefield shifts have reinforced trader views that a rapid Russian seizure remains unlikely without a major change in momentum or resources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$450,417 Wol.
December 31
5%
$450,417 Wol.
December 31
5%
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png
Train station Location in Sloviansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg
Sloviansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps recently recaptured 150–240 square kilometers north of Lyman, dismantling a Russian salient built over 18 months as a northern route toward Sloviansk and reversing prior Russian positioning in the sector. Russian forces continue glide-bomb and drone strikes on the city itself, including a September 11 attack that killed one civilian, while conducting limited assaults near Ozernе and attempting infiltration east of the city. Ukrainian counterattacks have slowed or reversed incremental Russian gains along multiple approaches, including near Mykolaivka and Rai-Oleksandrivka, leaving Russian units several kilometers from the urban outskirts amid high attrition and ongoing command adjustments on both sides. These battlefield shifts have reinforced trader views that a rapid Russian seizure remains unlikely without a major change in momentum or resources.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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