US commercial crude oil inventories stand at 428.9 million barrels as of the week ending August 21, 2026, following four consecutive weekly builds amid refinery utilization near 97% and net imports remaining subdued. High refinery runs, elevated export demand for US crude, and steady domestic production around 13.8 million barrels per day continue to pressure stocks downward, consistent with the EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projecting inventories below the five-year average through year-end. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve’s ongoing drawdown to 289.7 million barrels reflects prior emergency releases but does not directly affect commercial levels. Weekly EIA reports through mid-September, alongside any shifts in global supply from Middle East disruptions or refinery maintenance, represent the key near-term catalysts that could determine the trajectory into late September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?
280M
87%
270M
50%
260M
45%
250M
37%
200M
28%
$187 Wol.
280M
87%
270M
50%
260M
45%
250M
37%
200M
28%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US commercial crude oil inventories stand at 428.9 million barrels as of the week ending August 21, 2026, following four consecutive weekly builds amid refinery utilization near 97% and net imports remaining subdued. High refinery runs, elevated export demand for US crude, and steady domestic production around 13.8 million barrels per day continue to pressure stocks downward, consistent with the EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projecting inventories below the five-year average through year-end. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve’s ongoing drawdown to 289.7 million barrels reflects prior emergency releases but does not directly affect commercial levels. Weekly EIA reports through mid-September, alongside any shifts in global supply from Middle East disruptions or refinery maintenance, represent the key near-term catalysts that could determine the trajectory into late September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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