Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel by April 30, 2026, reflecting current May 2026 futures trading near $102—well below that peak hit in December 2025 amid extreme geopolitical disruptions. Recent sentiment shifted bearish after a brief spike to $107 last week on Iran tensions and U.S. strikes eased with OPEC+ agreeing to a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike for April, while U.S. inventories surprised with a 6.16 million barrel build for the week ending March 13. Ample non-OPEC supply growth and sluggish global demand amid economic slowdown underpin forecasts averaging $60–$80 for Brent in 2026; watch weekly EIA data and potential Middle East escalations as key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCrude Oil all time high by April 30?
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassing its all-time high of $410 per barrel by April 30, 2026, reflecting current May 2026 futures trading near $102—well below that peak hit in December 2025 amid extreme geopolitical disruptions. Recent sentiment shifted bearish after a brief spike to $107 last week on Iran tensions and U.S. strikes eased with OPEC+ agreeing to a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike for April, while U.S. inventories surprised with a 6.16 million barrel build for the week ending March 13. Ample non-OPEC supply growth and sluggish global demand amid economic slowdown underpin forecasts averaging $60–$80 for Brent in 2026; watch weekly EIA data and potential Middle East escalations as key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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