Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that WTI crude oil did not surpass its nominal all-time high of $147.27 per barrel—set intraday on July 3, 2008—by April 30, 2026, reflecting spot and futures prices peaking around $108 amid late-month volatility. Escalating US-Iran tensions drove a sharp rally, with WTI briefly testing $106 before retreating on thinned volumes and profit-taking, while Brent touched $126, its four-year high; however, ample global inventories, steady OPEC+ output, and softening demand signals from China capped upside far below historical precedent. With the deadline passed, resolution is certain barring data disputes, though tail risks like sudden Strait of Hormuz blockades or coordinated supply shocks could prompt post-resolution challenges if overlooked intraday peaks emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPetróleo bruto sempre em alta até 30 de abril?
Sim
$812,018 Vol.
$812,018 Vol.
Sim
$812,018 Vol.
$812,018 Vol.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability that WTI crude oil did not surpass its nominal all-time high of $147.27 per barrel—set intraday on July 3, 2008—by April 30, 2026, reflecting spot and futures prices peaking around $108 amid late-month volatility. Escalating US-Iran tensions drove a sharp rally, with WTI briefly testing $106 before retreating on thinned volumes and profit-taking, while Brent touched $126, its four-year high; however, ample global inventories, steady OPEC+ output, and softening demand signals from China capped upside far below historical precedent. With the deadline passed, resolution is certain barring data disputes, though tail risks like sudden Strait of Hormuz blockades or coordinated supply shocks could prompt post-resolution challenges if overlooked intraday peaks emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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