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icon for Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar

Iure Castro 44%

Oséias Varão 44%

Vanderlan Cardoso 44%

Gracinha Caiado 44%

Polymarket
NOVO

Iure Castro 44%

Oséias Varão 44%

Vanderlan Cardoso 44%

Gracinha Caiado 44%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Iure Castro

Iure Castro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Oséias Varão

Oséias Varão

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Vanderlan Cardoso

Vanderlan Cardoso

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gracinha Caiado

Gracinha Caiado

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Guilherme Darques

Guilherme Darques

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gustavo Gayer

Gustavo Gayer

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gustavo Mendanha

Gustavo Mendanha

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Isaura Lemos

Isaura Lemos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Dr. Zacharias Calil

Dr. Zacharias Calil

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Cintia Dias

Cintia Dias

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Ernesto Roller

Ernesto Roller

$0 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Goiás Senate race for the two seats up for election on October 4, 2026, a crowded field of roughly 11 registered candidates has kept first-place probabilities closely bunched, with recent July polling showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) ahead at around 20% but no one approaching a majority. Candidate registration closed on August 15, leaving limited time for consolidation of support or major shifts ahead of the single-round vote. Incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) and other contenders such as Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB) and Cíntia Dias (PSol) trail in available surveys, while the open nature of the contest and absence of recent statewide polling since late July sustain uncertainty about vote splitting among center-right, PSD-aligned, and left-leaning voters. Upcoming conventions, alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and any new surveys could quickly reorder standings by clarifying voter preferences in this low-information environment.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Goiás Senate race for the two seats up for election on October 4, 2026, a crowded field of roughly 11 registered candidates has kept first-place probabilities closely bunched, with recent July polling showing Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) ahead at around 20% but no one approaching a majority. Candidate registration closed on August 15, leaving limited time for consolidation of support or major shifts ahead of the single-round vote. Incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) and other contenders such as Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB) and Cíntia Dias (PSol) trail in available surveys, while the open nature of the contest and absence of recent statewide polling since late July sustain uncertainty about vote splitting among center-right, PSD-aligned, and left-leaning voters. Upcoming conventions, alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and any new surveys could quickly reorder standings by clarifying voter preferences in this low-information environment.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iure Castro" at 44%, followed by "Oséias Varão" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar" is "Iure Castro" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oséias Varão" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Goiás: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.