Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 14°C (37.5% implied probability) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 18, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating overcast skies with light rain from the west—1-5 mm total, 70% chance—transitioning to partial clearing from the northwest later, capping daytime heating under 30% sunshine and northwest winds at force 3. This setup reflects cooler maritime air advection typical for mid-April in the Netherlands, aligning with historical highs averaging 12-14°C at Schiphol amid Atlantic influences. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 13-15°C, with nearby 15°C (27%) and 13°C (20%) as contenders; full clearing could nudge toward 16°C, but persistent clouds dominate trader sentiment. Updated observations release hourly via KNMI through resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 20%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
18 abr 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
20%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
8%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 38%
15°C 29%
13°C 20%
16°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
18 abr 2026
10°C or below
$652 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$454 Vol.
2%
12°C
$857 Vol.
3%
13°C
$775 Vol.
20%
14°C
$694 Vol.
38%
15°C
$359 Vol.
29%
16°C
$1,257 Vol.
8%
17°C
$695 Vol.
4%
18°C
$1,130 Vol.
1%
19°C
$823 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 14°C (37.5% implied probability) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 18, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating overcast skies with light rain from the west—1-5 mm total, 70% chance—transitioning to partial clearing from the northwest later, capping daytime heating under 30% sunshine and northwest winds at force 3. This setup reflects cooler maritime air advection typical for mid-April in the Netherlands, aligning with historical highs averaging 12-14°C at Schiphol amid Atlantic influences. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 13-15°C, with nearby 15°C (27%) and 13°C (20%) as contenders; full clearing could nudge toward 16°C, but persistent clouds dominate trader sentiment. Updated observations release hourly via KNMI through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$9,193Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 14°C (37.5% implied probability) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 18, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating overcast skies with light rain from the west—1-5 mm total, 70% chance—transitioning to partial clearing from the northwest later, capping daytime heating under 30% sunshine and northwest winds at force 3. This setup reflects cooler maritime air advection typical for mid-April in the Netherlands, aligning with historical highs averaging 12-14°C at Schiphol amid Atlantic influences. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 13-15°C, with nearby 15°C (27%) and 13°C (20%) as contenders; full clearing could nudge toward 16°C, but persistent clouds dominate trader sentiment. Updated observations release hourly via KNMI through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,193Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 14°C (37.5% implied probability) for Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 18, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating overcast skies with light rain from the west—1-5 mm total, 70% chance—transitioning to partial clearing from the northwest later, capping daytime heating under 30% sunshine and northwest winds at force 3. This setup reflects cooler maritime air advection typical for mid-April in the Netherlands, aligning with historical highs averaging 12-14°C at Schiphol amid Atlantic influences. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 13-15°C, with nearby 15°C (27%) and 13°C (20%) as contenders; full clearing could nudge toward 16°C, but persistent clouds dominate trader sentiment. Updated observations release hourly via KNMI through resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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