Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 7 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 7 de julho?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 Vol.
$64,141 Vol.
7 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,141 Vol.
$64,141 Vol.
7 jul 2026
18°C ou menos
$876 Vol.
Não
19°C
$2,503 Vol.
Não
20°C
$2,950 Vol.
Não
21°C
$5,119 Vol.
Não
22°C
$11,628 Vol.
Não
23°C
$11,651 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$8,543 Vol.
Não
25°C
$7,627 Vol.
Não
26°C
$5,643 Vol.
Não
27°C
$4,577 Vol.
Não
28°C ou mais
$3,023 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$64,141Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,141Data de Término
7 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble guidance points to a modest warming trend over the North Sea, positioning Amsterdam's July 7 maximum most likely near 21–23 °C amid variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and limited diurnal heating. This setup aligns with the tightly bunched market odds favoring those brackets and reflects a slightly below-average early-July pattern relative to the long-term 22 °C climatological high. Model spread at two-day range typically spans ±2 °C, driven by uncertainty in Atlantic trough positioning and boundary-layer moisture, while KNMI surface observations will provide the official resolution value. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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