Latest forecasts from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 4 at 15–19°C under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated showers, driving the 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong signal. This positioning stems from recent post-frontal clearing after April 3's showers and thunderstorms—forecast at 17°C—amid typical early April climatology, where daily highs average 17°C with low variance from continental high-pressure influences. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimal spread, ruling out colder outcomes below 12°C absent an unexpected northerly surge. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and tomorrow's 12z model runs for final refinements before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 4?
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 5%
10°C 1.3%
9°C <1%
$26,879 Vol.
$26,879 Vol.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
88%
12°C or higher 88%
11°C 5%
10°C 1.3%
9°C <1%
$26,879 Vol.
$26,879 Vol.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological models and services like AccuWeather project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 4 at 15–19°C under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated showers, driving the 87.5% market-implied probability for 12°C or higher as trader consensus reflects this strong signal. This positioning stems from recent post-frontal clearing after April 3's showers and thunderstorms—forecast at 17°C—amid typical early April climatology, where daily highs average 17°C with low variance from continental high-pressure influences. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimal spread, ruling out colder outcomes below 12°C absent an unexpected northerly surge. Watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and tomorrow's 12z model runs for final refinements before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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