Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (31.5%) and 15°C (26.5%) as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, reflecting the close clustering of short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models around 15-17°C amid Ankara's variable continental climate. Early April typically sees average highs of 16-17°C, with daily increases from cooler starts, but uncertainty persists due to potential southerly airflow bringing mild warmth versus lingering cold fronts or cloud cover suppressing peaks. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) 5-day outlook as of April 4 indicates partly cloudy skies and moderate temperatures, with no major deviations from climatological norms in recent days. Updated model ensembles overnight and MGM revisions tomorrow could refine the 1-2°C spread differentiating top outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
16°C 32%
15°C 27%
17°C 18%
14°C 14%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
14%
15°C
27%
16°C
32%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 32%
15°C 27%
17°C 18%
14°C 14%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
14%
15°C
27%
16°C
32%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (31.5%) and 15°C (26.5%) as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, reflecting the close clustering of short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models around 15-17°C amid Ankara's variable continental climate. Early April typically sees average highs of 16-17°C, with daily increases from cooler starts, but uncertainty persists due to potential southerly airflow bringing mild warmth versus lingering cold fronts or cloud cover suppressing peaks. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) 5-day outlook as of April 4 indicates partly cloudy skies and moderate temperatures, with no major deviations from climatological norms in recent days. Updated model ensembles overnight and MGM revisions tomorrow could refine the 1-2°C spread differentiating top outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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