Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued midday on April 4, 2026, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C today, aligning with trader consensus at over 99% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure delivering heavy showers, squally thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover over Guangdong's coast. Observational data confirms this positioning: mid-afternoon readings at the Observatory reached 24.8°C with 87% relative humidity, suppressing further warming through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rain. Model consensus supports a 22–26°C range, consistent with April's climatological norms of around 25°C highs but tempered by today's unstable southerlies. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar heating to 27°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing showers make this unlikely as the resolution window nears end-of-day official measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 4?
26°C 98.9%
27°C 3.8%
25°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$106,626 Vol.
$106,626 Vol.
4 abr 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
13%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98.9%
27°C 3.8%
25°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$106,626 Vol.
$106,626 Vol.
4 abr 2026
19°C or below
$4,899 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,871 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,904 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,457 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,593 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$14,889 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$22,320 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14,802 Vol.
99%
27°C
$14,445 Vol.
13%
28°C
$8,596 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$6,638 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued midday on April 4, 2026, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C today, aligning with trader consensus at over 99% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure delivering heavy showers, squally thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover over Guangdong's coast. Observational data confirms this positioning: mid-afternoon readings at the Observatory reached 24.8°C with 87% relative humidity, suppressing further warming through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rain. Model consensus supports a 22–26°C range, consistent with April's climatological norms of around 25°C highs but tempered by today's unstable southerlies. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar heating to 27°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing showers make this unlikely as the resolution window nears end-of-day official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$106,626Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued midday on April 4, 2026, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C today, aligning with trader consensus at over 99% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure delivering heavy showers, squally thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover over Guangdong's coast. Observational data confirms this positioning: mid-afternoon readings at the Observatory reached 24.8°C with 87% relative humidity, suppressing further warming through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rain. Model consensus supports a 22–26°C range, consistent with April's climatological norms of around 25°C highs but tempered by today's unstable southerlies. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar heating to 27°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing showers make this unlikely as the resolution window nears end-of-day official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$106,626Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued midday on April 4, 2026, projects a maximum temperature of 26°C today, aligning with trader consensus at over 99% implied probability amid a trough of low pressure delivering heavy showers, squally thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover over Guangdong's coast. Observational data confirms this positioning: mid-afternoon readings at the Observatory reached 24.8°C with 87% relative humidity, suppressing further warming through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rain. Model consensus supports a 22–26°C range, consistent with April's climatological norms of around 25°C highs but tempered by today's unstable southerlies. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar heating to 27°C, though diminishing daylight and ongoing showers make this unlikely as the resolution window nears end-of-day official measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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