Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows showers and thunderstorms increasing into early April 4 following a warm Friday high near 83°F, with widespread cloud cover and 40-60% precipitation chances likely capping peak temperatures in the low to mid-70s°F. This trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 70-75°F outcomes, stems from model agreement on southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture across a stalled frontal boundary, overriding the NOAA spring outlook for above-normal April temperatures. Differentiating factors include morning clearing potential versus persistent overcast—ECMWF runs slightly cooler than GFS—and urban heat effects near official DFW measurement sites; watch evening updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
70-71°F 28.0%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
$20,037 Vol.
$20,037 Vol.
4 abr 2026
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 28.0%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
$20,037 Vol.
$20,037 Vol.
4 abr 2026
67°F or below
$2,848 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$1,326 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$1,735 Vol.
28%
72-73°F
$1,394 Vol.
23%
74-75°F
$1,653 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$1,404 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$2,039 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$1,362 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,605 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$747 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$3,953 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows showers and thunderstorms increasing into early April 4 following a warm Friday high near 83°F, with widespread cloud cover and 40-60% precipitation chances likely capping peak temperatures in the low to mid-70s°F. This trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 70-75°F outcomes, stems from model agreement on southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture across a stalled frontal boundary, overriding the NOAA spring outlook for above-normal April temperatures. Differentiating factors include morning clearing potential versus persistent overcast—ECMWF runs slightly cooler than GFS—and urban heat effects near official DFW measurement sites; watch evening updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$20,037Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows showers and thunderstorms increasing into early April 4 following a warm Friday high near 83°F, with widespread cloud cover and 40-60% precipitation chances likely capping peak temperatures in the low to mid-70s°F. This trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 70-75°F outcomes, stems from model agreement on southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture across a stalled frontal boundary, overriding the NOAA spring outlook for above-normal April temperatures. Differentiating factors include morning clearing potential versus persistent overcast—ECMWF runs slightly cooler than GFS—and urban heat effects near official DFW measurement sites; watch evening updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,037Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area shows showers and thunderstorms increasing into early April 4 following a warm Friday high near 83°F, with widespread cloud cover and 40-60% precipitation chances likely capping peak temperatures in the low to mid-70s°F. This trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 70-75°F outcomes, stems from model agreement on southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture across a stalled frontal boundary, overriding the NOAA spring outlook for above-normal April temperatures. Differentiating factors include morning clearing potential versus persistent overcast—ECMWF runs slightly cooler than GFS—and urban heat effects near official DFW measurement sites; watch evening updates for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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