Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, at 3:53 p.m. EDT, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model consensus projecting daytime highs of 79-82°F under breezy southeast winds, scattered showers, and lingering cloud cover that capped solar heating. Early April climatological normals for Miami average 82°F maximums, providing historical context for the mild conditions influenced by a weak frontal boundary. Scenarios challenging this positioning, such as rare data revisions from NOAA quality control, remain highly improbable given verified METAR reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 2?
82-83°F 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$189,518 Vol.
$189,518 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$189,518 Vol.
$189,518 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 82°F on April 2, 2026, at 3:53 p.m. EDT, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 82-83°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble model consensus projecting daytime highs of 79-82°F under breezy southeast winds, scattered showers, and lingering cloud cover that capped solar heating. Early April climatological normals for Miami average 82°F maximums, providing historical context for the mild conditions influenced by a weak frontal boundary. Scenarios challenging this positioning, such as rare data revisions from NOAA quality control, remain highly improbable given verified METAR reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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