Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) hourly observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's key reference station—confirm April 2, 2026, peaked at 4°C during the evening, after overnight lows near 0°C, amid overcast skies, light drizzle, mist, fog, and gusty easterly winds to 42 km/h that trapped cool air and limited solar heating. This sharp cooldown from 25.8°C on April 1 drove trader consensus to cluster around low-single-digit outcomes, with 84.5% market-implied odds on 5°C anticipating Wunderground's daily max (39°F, or ~4°C) resolution into that bin via standard rounding or measurement nuances common in moist, low-sun-angle conditions. Final data verification expected soon, as probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of minor reporting variances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
5°C 95%
6°C or higher 3.3%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$124,896 Vol.
$124,896 Vol.
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
95%
6°C or higher
3%
5°C 95%
6°C or higher 3.3%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$124,896 Vol.
$124,896 Vol.
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
95%
6°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) hourly observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's key reference station—confirm April 2, 2026, peaked at 4°C during the evening, after overnight lows near 0°C, amid overcast skies, light drizzle, mist, fog, and gusty easterly winds to 42 km/h that trapped cool air and limited solar heating. This sharp cooldown from 25.8°C on April 1 drove trader consensus to cluster around low-single-digit outcomes, with 84.5% market-implied odds on 5°C anticipating Wunderground's daily max (39°F, or ~4°C) resolution into that bin via standard rounding or measurement nuances common in moist, low-sun-angle conditions. Final data verification expected soon, as probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of minor reporting variances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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