Environment Canada's forecast issued at 3:30 PM EDT on April 2 projects a daytime high of 10°C for Toronto on April 4 under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, fueling closely matched market-implied odds clustered at 8-11°C as traders weigh peak heating potential. Recent downward revisions from earlier 12°C guidance stem from an advancing low-pressure system enhancing cloud cover, which curbs solar insolation, while shower risks introduce evaporative cooling that could suppress temperatures toward 7-9°C. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on cloud breaks versus persistence, Lake Ontario's boundary-layer moderation, and frontal timing; genuine short-range uncertainty prevails absent decisive observations. The next Environment Canada update early April 4 will refine hourly guidance ahead of official station resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
11°C or higher 25%
8°C 21%
9°C 21%
10°C 19%
$38,552 Vol.
$38,552 Vol.
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
7%
7°C
12%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
19%
11°C or higher
25%
11°C or higher 25%
8°C 21%
9°C 21%
10°C 19%
$38,552 Vol.
$38,552 Vol.
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
7%
7°C
12%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
19%
11°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's forecast issued at 3:30 PM EDT on April 2 projects a daytime high of 10°C for Toronto on April 4 under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, fueling closely matched market-implied odds clustered at 8-11°C as traders weigh peak heating potential. Recent downward revisions from earlier 12°C guidance stem from an advancing low-pressure system enhancing cloud cover, which curbs solar insolation, while shower risks introduce evaporative cooling that could suppress temperatures toward 7-9°C. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread on cloud breaks versus persistence, Lake Ontario's boundary-layer moderation, and frontal timing; genuine short-range uncertainty prevails absent decisive observations. The next Environment Canada update early April 4 will refine hourly guidance ahead of official station resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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