MetService's latest forecast update on April 2 confirms a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 3 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds strengthening in exposed areas and a low chance of showers, driving trader consensus to a 95.5% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on moderate autumn warming from overnight lows around 15°C, constrained by cloud cover and coastal influences typical for Wellington's variable weather. Historical April highs average 17°C, aligning with current projections. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine breaking through clouds for brief spikes to 20°C+ or southerly shifts cooling faster than expected; hourly observations from MetService will refine this as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
19°C 95.4%
20°C 2.9%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$104,100 Vol.
$104,100 Vol.
19°C
95%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 95.4%
20°C 2.9%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$104,100 Vol.
$104,100 Vol.
19°C
95%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast update on April 2 confirms a maximum temperature of 19°C at Wellington International Airport on April 3 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds strengthening in exposed areas and a low chance of showers, driving trader consensus to a 95.5% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects model agreement on moderate autumn warming from overnight lows around 15°C, constrained by cloud cover and coastal influences typical for Wellington's variable weather. Historical April highs average 17°C, aligning with current projections. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine breaking through clouds for brief spikes to 20°C+ or southerly shifts cooling faster than expected; hourly observations from MetService will refine this as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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