MetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus around 18–21°C outcomes. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering above-average autumn warmth—versus April's typical 16°C highs—but uncertainty arises from potential shower development on April 5 spillover and cool easterlies, which could suppress peaks to 18°C, while clearer breaks might allow 20–21°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near-average temperatures amid neutral ENSO conditions, with daily model updates from GFS and ECMWF through April 5 critical for refining probabilities amid inherent 4-day forecast divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
21°C 28%
18°C 26%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
7%
21°C 28%
18°C 26%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus around 18–21°C outcomes. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering above-average autumn warmth—versus April's typical 16°C highs—but uncertainty arises from potential shower development on April 5 spillover and cool easterlies, which could suppress peaks to 18°C, while clearer breaks might allow 20–21°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near-average temperatures amid neutral ENSO conditions, with daily model updates from GFS and ECMWF through April 5 critical for refining probabilities amid inherent 4-day forecast divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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