Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 6?
22°C 24%
21°C 22%
20°C 14%
23°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
11%
20°C
14%
21°C
22%
22°C
24%
23°C
14%
24°C
5%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 24%
21°C 22%
20°C 14%
23°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
16°C or below
$501 Vol.
1%
17°C
$183 Vol.
3%
18°C
$58 Vol.
6%
19°C
$97 Vol.
11%
20°C
$75 Vol.
14%
21°C
$130 Vol.
22%
22°C
$248 Vol.
24%
23°C
$80 Vol.
14%
24°C
$60 Vol.
5%
25°C
$137 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$788 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,355Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,355Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Chengdu's highest temperature on April 6 at 21°C under light rain and overcast skies, closely matching the market's trader consensus where 21°C (25.5%) and 22°C (22.5%) lead amid a tight cluster from 19-23°C. This follows a warm spell with highs of 25-28°C on April 4-5, as an incoming trough brings cooler northerly flow, thicker cloud cover, and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. Global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-3°C spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and precipitation intensity—denser clouds favor 19-20°C outcomes, while partial breaks support 22-23°C. Daily CMA updates and new model runs through the Qingming holiday will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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