Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 25-27°C, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air northward while clear skies maximize daytime insolation. Trader sentiment clusters evenly at 39% implied probability each for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-normal warmth—well exceeding the April climatological average of 17°C—but subtle divergences in boundary layer mixing, afternoon cloud timing, and urban heat island effects at official stations like Milano Linate. Lower probabilities for cooler readings stem from the ongoing warming trend observed over the past week. New 00Z and 12Z model runs through April 7 will provide critical updates ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
28°C or higher 26%
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
25°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
8 abr 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
11%
26°C
10%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
26%
28°C or higher 26%
23°C 25%
24°C 25%
25°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
8 abr 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 25-27°C, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air northward while clear skies maximize daytime insolation. Trader sentiment clusters evenly at 39% implied probability each for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-normal warmth—well exceeding the April climatological average of 17°C—but subtle divergences in boundary layer mixing, afternoon cloud timing, and urban heat island effects at official stations like Milano Linate. Lower probabilities for cooler readings stem from the ongoing warming trend observed over the past week. New 00Z and 12Z model runs through April 7 will provide critical updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$5Data de Término
8 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 25-27°C, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air northward while clear skies maximize daytime insolation. Trader sentiment clusters evenly at 39% implied probability each for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-normal warmth—well exceeding the April climatological average of 17°C—but subtle divergences in boundary layer mixing, afternoon cloud timing, and urban heat island effects at official stations like Milano Linate. Lower probabilities for cooler readings stem from the ongoing warming trend observed over the past week. New 00Z and 12Z model runs through April 7 will provide critical updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5Data de Término
8 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 reaching 25-27°C, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe advecting mild continental air northward while clear skies maximize daytime insolation. Trader sentiment clusters evenly at 39% implied probability each for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-normal warmth—well exceeding the April climatological average of 17°C—but subtle divergences in boundary layer mixing, afternoon cloud timing, and urban heat island effects at official stations like Milano Linate. Lower probabilities for cooler readings stem from the ongoing warming trend observed over the past week. New 00Z and 12Z model runs through April 7 will provide critical updates ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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