Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Seattle high temperature of 56-57°F (51.5% implied probability), aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance issued early April 2, which projects partly sunny skies and a peak near 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA). This positioning stems from lingering low-level marine stratus over the Puget Sound, moderating diurnal heating under southwesterly flow following overnight rain showers that cleared by morning. Ensemble model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mid-50s highs, consistent with early April climatology (historical average ~57°F) amid cool upper-level troughing. Partial cloud breaks could nudge toward 58-59°F (24.5%), while persistent overcast risks 54-55°F (13.0%); real-time observations and afternoon updates will refine this as the resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 3 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 3 de abril?
56-57°F 52%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 8%
52-53°F 6%
$35,509 Vol.
$35,509 Vol.
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
8%
56-57°F
52%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
56-57°F 52%
58-59°F 25%
54-55°F 8%
52-53°F 6%
$35,509 Vol.
$35,509 Vol.
45°F ou menos
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
8%
56-57°F
52%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
1%
64°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Seattle high temperature of 56-57°F (51.5% implied probability), aligning closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance issued early April 2, which projects partly sunny skies and a peak near 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA). This positioning stems from lingering low-level marine stratus over the Puget Sound, moderating diurnal heating under southwesterly flow following overnight rain showers that cleared by morning. Ensemble model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mid-50s highs, consistent with early April climatology (historical average ~57°F) amid cool upper-level troughing. Partial cloud breaks could nudge toward 58-59°F (24.5%), while persistent overcast risks 54-55°F (13.0%); real-time observations and afternoon updates will refine this as the resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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