Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, 2026, driven by official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Buenos Aires Observatorio station, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistently high humidity. This aligns closely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting 26–27°C maxima following a record April minimum of 24.1°C—the highest ever—fueled by warm air advection and weak southerly winds limiting cooling. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF showed minor spread around this range, capturing inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. With data now finalized, revisions are exceedingly rare, though equipment recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments under SMN protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 2 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 2 de abril?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,679 Vol.
$155,679 Vol.
2 abr 2026
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$155,679 Vol.
$155,679 Vol.
2 abr 2026
28°C
$34,622 Vol.
100%
29°C
$12,275 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$14,645 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,923 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,382 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$7,390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, 2026, driven by official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Buenos Aires Observatorio station, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistently high humidity. This aligns closely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting 26–27°C maxima following a record April minimum of 24.1°C—the highest ever—fueled by warm air advection and weak southerly winds limiting cooling. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF showed minor spread around this range, capturing inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. With data now finalized, revisions are exceedingly rare, though equipment recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments under SMN protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$155,679Data de Término
2 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, 2026, driven by official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Buenos Aires Observatorio station, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistently high humidity. This aligns closely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting 26–27°C maxima following a record April minimum of 24.1°C—the highest ever—fueled by warm air advection and weak southerly winds limiting cooling. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF showed minor spread around this range, capturing inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. With data now finalized, revisions are exceedingly rare, though equipment recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments under SMN protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$155,679Data de Término
2 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 28°C at 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 2, 2026, driven by official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Buenos Aires Observatorio station, which recorded a peak of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistently high humidity. This aligns closely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting 26–27°C maxima following a record April minimum of 24.1°C—the highest ever—fueled by warm air advection and weak southerly winds limiting cooling. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF showed minor spread around this range, capturing inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. With data now finalized, revisions are exceedingly rare, though equipment recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments under SMN protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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