Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (41%) and 12°C (41.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly guidance projecting peaks near 12-13°C amid partly cloudy skies, showers, and gusts to 44 km/h from a lingering low-pressure system over central Turkey. Morning observations at Esenboğa Airport station hovered around 6-9°C with light rain, limiting early insolation and boundary layer warming, while GFS and ECMWF model ensembles diverge slightly on afternoon cloud persistence—prolonged overcast favors 11°C by suppressing solar heating, brief clearings could nudge to 12°C via enhanced surface fluxes. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but this cool anomaly reflects northerly flow; monitor MGM real-time updates through 2-4pm peak window for resolution clarity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 3?
11°C 42%
12°C 36%
13°C 10%
14°C 3.6%
$72,010 Vol.
$72,010 Vol.
11°C
42%
12°C
36%
13°C
10%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 42%
12°C 36%
13°C 10%
14°C 3.6%
$72,010 Vol.
$72,010 Vol.
11°C
42%
12°C
36%
13°C
10%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (41%) and 12°C (41.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature today, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest hourly guidance projecting peaks near 12-13°C amid partly cloudy skies, showers, and gusts to 44 km/h from a lingering low-pressure system over central Turkey. Morning observations at Esenboğa Airport station hovered around 6-9°C with light rain, limiting early insolation and boundary layer warming, while GFS and ECMWF model ensembles diverge slightly on afternoon cloud persistence—prolonged overcast favors 11°C by suppressing solar heating, brief clearings could nudge to 12°C via enhanced surface fluxes. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but this cool anomaly reflects northerly flow; monitor MGM real-time updates through 2-4pm peak window for resolution clarity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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