Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 16°C in Shanghai today, driven by strong forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, which project persistent moderate rain and dense overcast skies capping daytime heating. Current morning observations hover near 15–16°C under a low-pressure system ushering cool, moist southeast winds and a 98% precipitation chance per AccuWeather, following a shortwave cooldown after March's milder anomalies. The Hong Kong Observatory corroborates a 14–17°C range with rain, well below April's climatological average high of 19°C. Hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will monitor mid-afternoon peaks, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
16°C 81%
17°C 20%
18°C 2.7%
20°C or higher <1%
$122,427 Vol.
$122,427 Vol.
3 abr 2026
16°C
81%
17°C
20%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 81%
17°C 20%
18°C 2.7%
20°C or higher <1%
$122,427 Vol.
$122,427 Vol.
3 abr 2026
16°C
$11,861 Vol.
81%
17°C
$7,945 Vol.
20%
18°C
$8,690 Vol.
3%
19°C
$8,899 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$16,234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 16°C in Shanghai today, driven by strong forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, which project persistent moderate rain and dense overcast skies capping daytime heating. Current morning observations hover near 15–16°C under a low-pressure system ushering cool, moist southeast winds and a 98% precipitation chance per AccuWeather, following a shortwave cooldown after March's milder anomalies. The Hong Kong Observatory corroborates a 14–17°C range with rain, well below April's climatological average high of 19°C. Hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will monitor mid-afternoon peaks, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$122,427Data de Término
3 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 16°C in Shanghai today, driven by strong forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, which project persistent moderate rain and dense overcast skies capping daytime heating. Current morning observations hover near 15–16°C under a low-pressure system ushering cool, moist southeast winds and a 98% precipitation chance per AccuWeather, following a shortwave cooldown after March's milder anomalies. The Hong Kong Observatory corroborates a 14–17°C range with rain, well below April's climatological average high of 19°C. Hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will monitor mid-afternoon peaks, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$122,427Data de Término
3 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 16°C in Shanghai today, driven by strong forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles, which project persistent moderate rain and dense overcast skies capping daytime heating. Current morning observations hover near 15–16°C under a low-pressure system ushering cool, moist southeast winds and a 98% precipitation chance per AccuWeather, following a shortwave cooldown after March's milder anomalies. The Hong Kong Observatory corroborates a 14–17°C range with rain, well below April's climatological average high of 19°C. Hourly data from official stations like Xujiahui will monitor mid-afternoon peaks, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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