National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 81°F at Miami International Airport today under partly sunny skies, breezy east winds of 11-15 mph, and a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via convective clouds. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, prices 82-83°F at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting the April 3 climatological normal of 82°F and ensemble model spreads clustering 78-85°F amid persistent high pressure and drier easterly flow fostering solar insolation before potential sea breeze showers. Recent days featured low-80s highs with similar winds, underscoring baseline warmth, though updated hourly observations this afternoon will clarify if breakthrough heating exceeds guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 19%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 3.5%
$68,459 Vol.
$68,459 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 19%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 3.5%
$68,459 Vol.
$68,459 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 81°F at Miami International Airport today under partly sunny skies, breezy east winds of 11-15 mph, and a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms that could cap peak heating via convective clouds. Trader consensus on Polymarket, however, prices 82-83°F at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting the April 3 climatological normal of 82°F and ensemble model spreads clustering 78-85°F amid persistent high pressure and drier easterly flow fostering solar insolation before potential sea breeze showers. Recent days featured low-80s highs with similar winds, underscoring baseline warmth, though updated hourly observations this afternoon will clarify if breakthrough heating exceeds guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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