Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 66-67°F (28%) edging 64-65°F (20%) and 62-63°F (19%), reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting San Francisco International Airport highs near 65°F on April 6, tempered by persistent marine stratus and moderate onshore winds amid a developing high-pressure ridge. Recent warmth surged inland to near 80°F earlier this week, but coastal advection of cool Pacific air—common in April climatology (normal high ~63°F)—caps SFO peaks, differentiating outcomes via burn-off timing: delayed fog clearance favors 62-63°F, quicker dissipation boosts 66-67°F potential. New model runs and NWS updates tomorrow will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 6?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 6?
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 20%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
5%
66-67°F 30%
64-65°F 20%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 13%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 66-67°F (28%) edging 64-65°F (20%) and 62-63°F (19%), reflects National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting San Francisco International Airport highs near 65°F on April 6, tempered by persistent marine stratus and moderate onshore winds amid a developing high-pressure ridge. Recent warmth surged inland to near 80°F earlier this week, but coastal advection of cool Pacific air—common in April climatology (normal high ~63°F)—caps SFO peaks, differentiating outcomes via burn-off timing: delayed fog clearance favors 62-63°F, quicker dissipation boosts 66-67°F potential. New model runs and NWS updates tomorrow will clarify amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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