National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 80°F in Miami on April 4 under mostly sunny skies with east winds 11-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% for 80-81°F and 32.5% for 82-83°F amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Persistent easterly flow from a mid-level ridge suppresses robust sea breeze development, capping peak temperatures below climatological April norms of 82°F, while NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster tightly around 80-82°F with minimal spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks, urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport, and precise diurnal maximum timing, as minor variations could tip outcomes between bins. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 4?
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 31%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 9%
$17,617 Vol.
$17,617 Vol.
4 abr 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 36%
80-81°F 31%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 9%
$17,617 Vol.
$17,617 Vol.
4 abr 2026
71°F or below
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$955 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,107 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$2,159 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$2,749 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$1,857 Vol.
31%
82-83°F
$2,965 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$918 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$1,046 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,193 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,129 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 80°F in Miami on April 4 under mostly sunny skies with east winds 11-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% for 80-81°F and 32.5% for 82-83°F amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Persistent easterly flow from a mid-level ridge suppresses robust sea breeze development, capping peak temperatures below climatological April norms of 82°F, while NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster tightly around 80-82°F with minimal spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks, urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport, and precise diurnal maximum timing, as minor variations could tip outcomes between bins. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$17,617Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 80°F in Miami on April 4 under mostly sunny skies with east winds 11-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% for 80-81°F and 32.5% for 82-83°F amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Persistent easterly flow from a mid-level ridge suppresses robust sea breeze development, capping peak temperatures below climatological April norms of 82°F, while NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster tightly around 80-82°F with minimal spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks, urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport, and precise diurnal maximum timing, as minor variations could tip outcomes between bins. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,617Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 80°F in Miami on April 4 under mostly sunny skies with east winds 11-15 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 40.5% for 80-81°F and 32.5% for 82-83°F amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Persistent easterly flow from a mid-level ridge suppresses robust sea breeze development, capping peak temperatures below climatological April norms of 82°F, while NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster tightly around 80-82°F with minimal spread. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud breaks, urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport, and precise diurnal maximum timing, as minor variations could tip outcomes between bins. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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