Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 81°F at Miami International Airport on April 5, fueling the tight trader split between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show ensemble spread, with drier members under a building subtropical ridge allowing potential peaks to 82-83°F via reduced sea breeze moderation and easterly winds, while moister runs with 30% shower chances introduce clouds capping highs at 80-81°F. Easter Sunday's climatological normal of 82°F provides baseline context, but precip timing remains the key differentiator; watch NWS updates at 8 AM and 4 PM EDT April 4 for refined guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 34%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 34%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 81°F at Miami International Airport on April 5, fueling the tight trader split between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours show ensemble spread, with drier members under a building subtropical ridge allowing potential peaks to 82-83°F via reduced sea breeze moderation and easterly winds, while moister runs with 30% shower chances introduce clouds capping highs at 80-81°F. Easter Sunday's climatological normal of 82°F provides baseline context, but precip timing remains the key differentiator; watch NWS updates at 8 AM and 4 PM EDT April 4 for refined guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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