Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 29°C at primary automated stations, including preliminary readings of 28.4°C by 15h local time that finalized higher amid sustained afternoon solar heating under clear skies and 55% relative humidity with zero precipitation. This aligns with numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting 27-29°C peaks for the autumn day, slightly above the climatological April average of 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with skin-in-the-game bets ruling out hotter outcomes due to absent heatwave drivers like high pressure subsidence or urban heat amplification beyond norms. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary revisions from airport METARs (e.g., Congonhas) or instrument recalibrations, though INMET finalization typically locks such measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de abril?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$89,419 Vol.
$89,419 Vol.
2 abr 2026
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$89,419 Vol.
$89,419 Vol.
2 abr 2026
29°C
$13,446 Vol.
100%
30°C
$10,101 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10,682 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,677 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$2,567 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 29°C at primary automated stations, including preliminary readings of 28.4°C by 15h local time that finalized higher amid sustained afternoon solar heating under clear skies and 55% relative humidity with zero precipitation. This aligns with numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting 27-29°C peaks for the autumn day, slightly above the climatological April average of 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with skin-in-the-game bets ruling out hotter outcomes due to absent heatwave drivers like high pressure subsidence or urban heat amplification beyond norms. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary revisions from airport METARs (e.g., Congonhas) or instrument recalibrations, though INMET finalization typically locks such measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$89,419Data de Término
2 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 29°C at primary automated stations, including preliminary readings of 28.4°C by 15h local time that finalized higher amid sustained afternoon solar heating under clear skies and 55% relative humidity with zero precipitation. This aligns with numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting 27-29°C peaks for the autumn day, slightly above the climatological April average of 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with skin-in-the-game bets ruling out hotter outcomes due to absent heatwave drivers like high pressure subsidence or urban heat amplification beyond norms. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary revisions from airport METARs (e.g., Congonhas) or instrument recalibrations, though INMET finalization typically locks such measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,419Data de Término
2 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 29°C at primary automated stations, including preliminary readings of 28.4°C by 15h local time that finalized higher amid sustained afternoon solar heating under clear skies and 55% relative humidity with zero precipitation. This aligns with numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting 27-29°C peaks for the autumn day, slightly above the climatological April average of 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data from authoritative sources, with skin-in-the-game bets ruling out hotter outcomes due to absent heatwave drivers like high pressure subsidence or urban heat amplification beyond norms. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary revisions from airport METARs (e.g., Congonhas) or instrument recalibrations, though INMET finalization typically locks such measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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