National Weather Service guidance pegs Austin's April 3 high temperature near 85°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly before 1 p.m., fueling the razor-thin trader split between 84-85°F (32.5% implied probability) and 86-87°F (34%). Persistent southerly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from overnight lows near 73°F promote above-normal warmth—well above the early April climatological average of 78°F—but early cloud cover and potential convective activity risk limiting midday insolation and peak boundary-layer heating. Short-range models like NAM and GFS show consensus in the mid-80s with minor spread, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon clearing; monitor hourly observations from Austin Camp Mabry or Bergstrom Airport for resolution cues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 9%
$20,993 Vol.
$20,993 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 25%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 9%
$20,993 Vol.
$20,993 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance pegs Austin's April 3 high temperature near 85°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly before 1 p.m., fueling the razor-thin trader split between 84-85°F (32.5% implied probability) and 86-87°F (34%). Persistent southerly winds at 10-15 mph and high humidity from overnight lows near 73°F promote above-normal warmth—well above the early April climatological average of 78°F—but early cloud cover and potential convective activity risk limiting midday insolation and peak boundary-layer heating. Short-range models like NAM and GFS show consensus in the mid-80s with minor spread, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon clearing; monitor hourly observations from Austin Camp Mabry or Bergstrom Airport for resolution cues.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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