Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie among 19°C (31.5%), 20°C (31.5%), and 21°C (30.0%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 3, reflecting high uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid variable spring conditions. The China Meteorological Administration's latest bulletin, relayed via Hong Kong Observatory at 8:15 a.m., projects a daytime high of 22°C under overcast skies, but persistent cloud cover—reducing solar insolation and capping surface heating—favors the lower cluster per ensemble models like those from weather.com (19°C high with morning drizzle). Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing versus sustained low-level moisture and light winds; historical early-April highs average 20°C with similar cloudy setups limiting peaks. Hourly observations from the airport station will clarify resolution by evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 38%
19°C 34%
21°C 27%
22°C 3.6%
$41,676 Vol.
$41,676 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
34%
20°C
38%
21°C
27%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 38%
19°C 34%
21°C 27%
22°C 3.6%
$41,676 Vol.
$41,676 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
34%
20°C
38%
21°C
27%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie among 19°C (31.5%), 20°C (31.5%), and 21°C (30.0%) for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 3, reflecting high uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid variable spring conditions. The China Meteorological Administration's latest bulletin, relayed via Hong Kong Observatory at 8:15 a.m., projects a daytime high of 22°C under overcast skies, but persistent cloud cover—reducing solar insolation and capping surface heating—favors the lower cluster per ensemble models like those from weather.com (19°C high with morning drizzle). Differentiating factors include potential afternoon clearing versus sustained low-level moisture and light winds; historical early-April highs average 20°C with similar cloudy setups limiting peaks. Hourly observations from the airport station will clarify resolution by evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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