Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 22°C (37.5%) and 23°C (28.0%) for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 3, driven by morning observations of 15°C amid light rain, mist, and 100% humidity that limit early insolation and convective heating. China Meteorological Administration models forecast sunnier highs near 26°C under light NW winds, but traders discount this due to persistent mid-level moisture and stratus clouds, echoing recent cool starts on April 1–2 (13–15°C mornings). Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud clearing potential versus lingering overcast, with 1°C spreads common in spring models like ECMWF amid transitional frontal patterns. Hourly METAR updates from the airport will sharpen resolution as peak heating approaches midday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 3?
22°C 35%
23°C 28%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
$27,833 Vol.
$27,833 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
35%
23°C
28%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 35%
23°C 28%
21°C 16%
24°C 12%
$27,833 Vol.
$27,833 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
35%
23°C
28%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 22°C (37.5%) and 23°C (28.0%) for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 3, driven by morning observations of 15°C amid light rain, mist, and 100% humidity that limit early insolation and convective heating. China Meteorological Administration models forecast sunnier highs near 26°C under light NW winds, but traders discount this due to persistent mid-level moisture and stratus clouds, echoing recent cool starts on April 1–2 (13–15°C mornings). Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud clearing potential versus lingering overcast, with 1°C spreads common in spring models like ECMWF amid transitional frontal patterns. Hourly METAR updates from the airport will sharpen resolution as peak heating approaches midday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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