Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below, reflecting latest short-range forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 19–23°C (67–73°F) amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Recent cloudy trends over the past 48 hours, including overnight lows near 15°C on April 2–3 and March's cooler-than-average mean of 16.3°C, have suppressed heating, with frontal systems steering moist air from the East Asian monsoon transition limiting solar insolation. Early April climatology averages highs of 21–23°C, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF analogs) indicate 50–80% rain chances capping intensities; daily China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty range of ±2–3°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 6?
19°C or below 43%
21°C 25%
20°C 20%
22°C 12%
19°C or below
43%
20°C
20%
21°C
25%
22°C
12%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 43%
21°C 25%
20°C 20%
22°C 12%
19°C or below
43%
20°C
20%
21°C
25%
22°C
12%
23°C
8%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 6 at 19°C or below, reflecting latest short-range forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com showing peaks near 19–23°C (67–73°F) amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Recent cloudy trends over the past 48 hours, including overnight lows near 15°C on April 2–3 and March's cooler-than-average mean of 16.3°C, have suppressed heating, with frontal systems steering moist air from the East Asian monsoon transition limiting solar insolation. Early April climatology averages highs of 21–23°C, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF analogs) indicate 50–80% rain chances capping intensities; daily China Meteorological Administration updates tomorrow could refine this uncertainty range of ±2–3°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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