Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 15-17°C following weekend rains on April 4-5 that brought 5-20mm precipitation and daytime highs of 14-18°C, tempering early spring warmth but not derailing seasonal trends. This positions the 15°C or higher outcome at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance from clearing skies and southerly flows amid neutral ENSO conditions, with historical April 8 averages near 14°C but recent cherry blossom full bloom signaling progressive warming. Outcomes like 12-14°C at ~36% capture potential cloud cover variability, while lower bins trail due to scant cold air intrusion signals. Daily KMA updates through April 7 could refine ensemble model spreads ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 8?
15°C or higher 47%
13°C 23%
11°C 21%
12°C 21%
5°C or below
3%
6°C
17%
7°C
17%
8°C
17%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
23%
14°C
20%
15°C or higher
47%
15°C or higher 47%
13°C 23%
11°C 21%
12°C 21%
5°C or below
3%
6°C
17%
7°C
17%
8°C
17%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
23%
14°C
20%
15°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 8 around 15-17°C following weekend rains on April 4-5 that brought 5-20mm precipitation and daytime highs of 14-18°C, tempering early spring warmth but not derailing seasonal trends. This positions the 15°C or higher outcome at 50% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance from clearing skies and southerly flows amid neutral ENSO conditions, with historical April 8 averages near 14°C but recent cherry blossom full bloom signaling progressive warming. Outcomes like 12-14°C at ~36% capture potential cloud cover variability, while lower bins trail due to scant cold air intrusion signals. Daily KMA updates through April 7 could refine ensemble model spreads ahead of resolution at Incheon International Airport station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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