Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles for Denver's April 8 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 56°F or higher at 38% amid a warming trend following recent cooler, showery patterns earlier in April. After a cold air mass brought record low maximums around April 2-3, high-pressure ridging is building over the Rockies, per latest GFS and ECMWF runs projecting mid-to-upper 60s under sunny skies and light winds, though ensemble spreads introduce downside risk to the mid-50s from potential mid-level disturbances or increased cloud cover. Normal early April highs hover near 60°F, but this year's warmer-than-average outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center adds upside potential; watch daily 12z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Denver International Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 8?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
56°F or higher 38%
54-55°F 29%
42-43°F 26%
44-45°F 26%
37°F or below
3%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
26%
44-45°F
26%
46-47°F
26%
48-49°F
26%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
29%
56°F or higher
38%
56°F or higher 38%
54-55°F 29%
42-43°F 26%
44-45°F 26%
37°F or below
3%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
3%
42-43°F
26%
44-45°F
26%
46-47°F
26%
48-49°F
26%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
29%
56°F or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles for Denver's April 8 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 56°F or higher at 38% amid a warming trend following recent cooler, showery patterns earlier in April. After a cold air mass brought record low maximums around April 2-3, high-pressure ridging is building over the Rockies, per latest GFS and ECMWF runs projecting mid-to-upper 60s under sunny skies and light winds, though ensemble spreads introduce downside risk to the mid-50s from potential mid-level disturbances or increased cloud cover. Normal early April highs hover near 60°F, but this year's warmer-than-average outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center adds upside potential; watch daily 12z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Denver International Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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