Latest National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder/Denver forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's April 6 high temperature clustering around 66-71°F, driving the tight race among top market outcomes with 22.5% implied probability for 68-69°F. This trader consensus reflects a mild above-normal outlook (April average ~61°F) under a weak upper-level ridge over the Rockies, following a recent pattern shift from early-week warmth near 73°F to cooler, showery conditions amid incoming moisture. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—clear skies and downslope winds could boost toward 70-71°F, while increased overcast or northerly flow caps at 66-67°F. New 12z model runs and NWS updates today may sharpen resolution amid inherent spring forecast uncertainty at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on April 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 6?
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
62-63°F 19%
59°F or below
9%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
62-63°F 19%
59°F or below
9%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder/Denver forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's April 6 high temperature clustering around 66-71°F, driving the tight race among top market outcomes with 22.5% implied probability for 68-69°F. This trader consensus reflects a mild above-normal outlook (April average ~61°F) under a weak upper-level ridge over the Rockies, following a recent pattern shift from early-week warmth near 73°F to cooler, showery conditions amid incoming moisture. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—clear skies and downslope winds could boost toward 70-71°F, while increased overcast or northerly flow caps at 66-67°F. New 12z model runs and NWS updates today may sharpen resolution amid inherent spring forecast uncertainty at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions