**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 2 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 2 de abril?
12°C 100.0%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 Vol.
$510,657 Vol.
8°C ou menos
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C ou mais
Não
12°C 100.0%
8°C ou menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 Vol.
$510,657 Vol.
8°C ou menos
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions