Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS projects Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 4 between 25-28°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, mirroring trader consensus with 27°C at 32.5% implied probability closely trailed by 26°C and 28°C. This clustering reflects uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin's persistent low-level temperature inversions, which trap moisture and fog, potentially limiting daytime solar heating to cap peaks at 26°C if clouds thicken, or allowing 27-28°C with afternoon breaks enhancing insolation. Above the early-April historical average of ~22°C, current odds hinge on today's final 12z model runs and real-time cloud evolution ahead of the afternoon maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 4?
27°C 32%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 14%
$24,345 Vol.
$24,345 Vol.
4 abr 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
21%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 14%
$24,345 Vol.
$24,345 Vol.
4 abr 2026
21°C or below
$2,838 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,941 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,886 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,978 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,414 Vol.
14%
26°C
$1,362 Vol.
27%
27°C
$1,712 Vol.
32%
28°C
$1,271 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1,577 Vol.
5%
30°C
$725 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$2,664 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS projects Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 4 between 25-28°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, mirroring trader consensus with 27°C at 32.5% implied probability closely trailed by 26°C and 28°C. This clustering reflects uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin's persistent low-level temperature inversions, which trap moisture and fog, potentially limiting daytime solar heating to cap peaks at 26°C if clouds thicken, or allowing 27-28°C with afternoon breaks enhancing insolation. Above the early-April historical average of ~22°C, current odds hinge on today's final 12z model runs and real-time cloud evolution ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
Volume
$24,345Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS projects Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 4 between 25-28°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, mirroring trader consensus with 27°C at 32.5% implied probability closely trailed by 26°C and 28°C. This clustering reflects uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin's persistent low-level temperature inversions, which trap moisture and fog, potentially limiting daytime solar heating to cap peaks at 26°C if clouds thicken, or allowing 27-28°C with afternoon breaks enhancing insolation. Above the early-April historical average of ~22°C, current odds hinge on today's final 12z model runs and real-time cloud evolution ahead of the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,345Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS projects Chengdu's highest temperature at Shuangliu International Airport on April 4 between 25-28°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, mirroring trader consensus with 27°C at 32.5% implied probability closely trailed by 26°C and 28°C. This clustering reflects uncertainty in the Sichuan Basin's persistent low-level temperature inversions, which trap moisture and fog, potentially limiting daytime solar heating to cap peaks at 26°C if clouds thicken, or allowing 27-28°C with afternoon breaks enhancing insolation. Above the early-April historical average of ~22°C, current odds hinge on today's final 12z model runs and real-time cloud evolution ahead of the afternoon maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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