Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS models, and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) place Warsaw's highest temperature on April 3 near 13°C, under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, moderate westerly winds, and partial breaks allowing limited daytime heating. Morning observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport— the market's resolution station—registered around 4°C at dawn, climbing to 11°C midday amid intervals of sunshine, aligning with early April climatological averages of 12–13°C highs. Trader consensus at 50.9% for 13°C and 25% for 14°C reflects this tight model spread and inherent uncertainty from cloud variability, with afternoon hourly readings from official sensors set to confirm the peak by sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
13°C 78.7%
15°C 6%
14°C 6%
16°C 2.9%
$37,637 Vol.
$37,637 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
79%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 78.7%
15°C 6%
14°C 6%
16°C 2.9%
$37,637 Vol.
$37,637 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
79%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS models, and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) place Warsaw's highest temperature on April 3 near 13°C, under mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers, moderate westerly winds, and partial breaks allowing limited daytime heating. Morning observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport— the market's resolution station—registered around 4°C at dawn, climbing to 11°C midday amid intervals of sunshine, aligning with early April climatological averages of 12–13°C highs. Trader consensus at 50.9% for 13°C and 25% for 14°C reflects this tight model spread and inherent uncertainty from cloud variability, with afternoon hourly readings from official sensors set to confirm the peak by sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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