India Meteorological Department (IMD) data shows yesterday's maximum at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport reached 37.5°C amid clear skies, with today's local forecast projecting 38°C under mainly clear conditions and low humidity around 30-60%. However, trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 36°C at 93% implied probability, driven by the IMD's national bulletin noting a gradual 3-5°C fall in northwest India maxima through April 4—encompassing Uttar Pradesh—and midday observations of just 34.7°C at 14:30 IST, suggesting limited remaining heating potential before sunset at 18:24 IST. This positioning aligns with ensemble model trends and historical early-April norms around 36-37°C. A realistic challenge would be persistent intense solar insolation and calm westerly winds boosting the peak to 37°C+, while incoming clouds or gusts could confirm or undershoot 36°C as final airport readings resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 3?
36°C 97.4%
37°C 1.7%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$98,638 Vol.
$98,638 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
97%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 97.4%
37°C 1.7%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$98,638 Vol.
$98,638 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
97%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) data shows yesterday's maximum at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport reached 37.5°C amid clear skies, with today's local forecast projecting 38°C under mainly clear conditions and low humidity around 30-60%. However, trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 36°C at 93% implied probability, driven by the IMD's national bulletin noting a gradual 3-5°C fall in northwest India maxima through April 4—encompassing Uttar Pradesh—and midday observations of just 34.7°C at 14:30 IST, suggesting limited remaining heating potential before sunset at 18:24 IST. This positioning aligns with ensemble model trends and historical early-April norms around 36-37°C. A realistic challenge would be persistent intense solar insolation and calm westerly winds boosting the peak to 37°C+, while incoming clouds or gusts could confirm or undershoot 36°C as final airport readings resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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