IMD's latest local forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 31°C on April 5 amid thunderstorms with rain, driving trader consensus toward 33°C or below at 65.5% implied probability. This reflects ongoing western disturbances—low-pressure systems ushering moisture from the northwest—causing cloud cover and precipitation through April 9, which suppresses daytime solar insolation and caps heating despite early April historical averages near 36°C. Recent days saw isolated thundershowers and light rain, with below-normal maximums observed, aligning model ensembles like those from IMD. Uncertainty persists if disturbances weaken earlier, potentially allowing 34°C (24.5%); daily updates from IMD expected by April 4 could refine odds as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
33°C or below 68%
34°C 26%
35°C 8%
36°C 5%
33°C or below
68%
34°C
26%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 68%
34°C 26%
35°C 8%
36°C 5%
33°C or below
68%
34°C
26%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...IMD's latest local forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 31°C on April 5 amid thunderstorms with rain, driving trader consensus toward 33°C or below at 65.5% implied probability. This reflects ongoing western disturbances—low-pressure systems ushering moisture from the northwest—causing cloud cover and precipitation through April 9, which suppresses daytime solar insolation and caps heating despite early April historical averages near 36°C. Recent days saw isolated thundershowers and light rain, with below-normal maximums observed, aligning model ensembles like those from IMD. Uncertainty persists if disturbances weaken earlier, potentially allowing 34°C (24.5%); daily updates from IMD expected by April 4 could refine odds as resolution nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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