Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 6 at 33°C or below, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest guidance forecasting scattered thunderstorms and light rain from an approaching western disturbance through April 9. This system, a cyclonic circulation over East Iran with an upper trough, introduces cloud cover and gusty winds likely to cap daytime maxima 2–4°C below recent observations of 37–38°C on April 1–2 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station. Ensemble model runs from sources like IMD and global forecasts converge around 35–36°C, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 36°C averages amid above-normal rainfall suppressing heat buildup. Uncertainties persist in disturbance intensity and clearing patterns; watch IMD bulletins April 4–5 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 6 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 6 de abril?
33°C ou menos 47%
34°C 29%
36°C 14%
35°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
33°C ou menos
47%
34°C
29%
35°C
16%
36°C
14%
37°C
8%
38°C
7%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C ou mais
<1%
33°C ou menos 47%
34°C 29%
36°C 14%
35°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
33°C ou menos
$65 Vol.
47%
34°C
$55 Vol.
29%
35°C
$8 Vol.
16%
36°C
$1 Vol.
14%
37°C
$30 Vol.
8%
38°C
$32 Vol.
7%
39°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$243 Vol.
1%
41°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
43°C ou mais
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 6 at 33°C or below, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest guidance forecasting scattered thunderstorms and light rain from an approaching western disturbance through April 9. This system, a cyclonic circulation over East Iran with an upper trough, introduces cloud cover and gusty winds likely to cap daytime maxima 2–4°C below recent observations of 37–38°C on April 1–2 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station. Ensemble model runs from sources like IMD and global forecasts converge around 35–36°C, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 36°C averages amid above-normal rainfall suppressing heat buildup. Uncertainties persist in disturbance intensity and clearing patterns; watch IMD bulletins April 4–5 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,464Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 6 at 33°C or below, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest guidance forecasting scattered thunderstorms and light rain from an approaching western disturbance through April 9. This system, a cyclonic circulation over East Iran with an upper trough, introduces cloud cover and gusty winds likely to cap daytime maxima 2–4°C below recent observations of 37–38°C on April 1–2 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station. Ensemble model runs from sources like IMD and global forecasts converge around 35–36°C, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 36°C averages amid above-normal rainfall suppressing heat buildup. Uncertainties persist in disturbance intensity and clearing patterns; watch IMD bulletins April 4–5 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,464Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 6 at 33°C or below, driven by the India Meteorological Department's latest guidance forecasting scattered thunderstorms and light rain from an approaching western disturbance through April 9. This system, a cyclonic circulation over East Iran with an upper trough, introduces cloud cover and gusty winds likely to cap daytime maxima 2–4°C below recent observations of 37–38°C on April 1–2 at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport station. Ensemble model runs from sources like IMD and global forecasts converge around 35–36°C, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 36°C averages amid above-normal rainfall suppressing heat buildup. Uncertainties persist in disturbance intensity and clearing patterns; watch IMD bulletins April 4–5 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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