Environment Canada’s latest forecasts, issued April 3, project Toronto’s April 6 high near 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, following heavy weekend rainfall that reinforces a cool air mass with northerly winds. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 5–7°C outcomes at 68% combined implied probability, below the early-April climatological average of 9–10°C due to persistent upper-level troughing suppressing warming. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight spread around 4–6°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover extent—more sun could boost peaks to 7°C via enhanced boundary-layer mixing, while lingering showers might cap at 4°C or lower. Monitor overnight model runs and Saturday’s EC update for shifts ahead of resolution using official Toronto Pearson observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
6°C 26%
5°C 22%
7°C 21%
4°C 12%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
10%
4°C
12%
5°C
22%
6°C
26%
7°C
21%
8°C
10%
9°C
4%
10°C or higher
2%
6°C 26%
5°C 22%
7°C 21%
4°C 12%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
3%
3°C
10%
4°C
12%
5°C
22%
6°C
26%
7°C
21%
8°C
10%
9°C
4%
10°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s latest forecasts, issued April 3, project Toronto’s April 6 high near 5°C under a mix of sun and cloud, following heavy weekend rainfall that reinforces a cool air mass with northerly winds. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 5–7°C outcomes at 68% combined implied probability, below the early-April climatological average of 9–10°C due to persistent upper-level troughing suppressing warming. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight spread around 4–6°C, with differentiation hinging on cloud cover extent—more sun could boost peaks to 7°C via enhanced boundary-layer mixing, while lingering showers might cap at 4°C or lower. Monitor overnight model runs and Saturday’s EC update for shifts ahead of resolution using official Toronto Pearson observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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