Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 32°C at 39.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature at Changi Airport on April 4, followed closely by 31°C at 29.5%, reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) recent fortnightly outlook for the first half of April 2026. This positions traders toward the lower end of NEA's projected daily maximums of 33–35°C amid onset of inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent afternoon thundery showers and potential Sumatra squalls that increase cloud cover and suppress peaks via enhanced convective cooling. Recent observations show highs near 35°C (35.2°C on April 3 despite late showers), but heightened rainfall near historical averages introduces uncertainty, consistent with April climatology where equatorial humidity and light winds typically yield 31–33°C peaks. Watch NEA's midday forecast update for refined shower timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 4?
32°C 40%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 8.0%
$25,807 Vol.
$25,807 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
40%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
8%
32°C 40%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 8.0%
$25,807 Vol.
$25,807 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
40%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 32°C at 39.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature at Changi Airport on April 4, followed closely by 31°C at 29.5%, reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) recent fortnightly outlook for the first half of April 2026. This positions traders toward the lower end of NEA's projected daily maximums of 33–35°C amid onset of inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent afternoon thundery showers and potential Sumatra squalls that increase cloud cover and suppress peaks via enhanced convective cooling. Recent observations show highs near 35°C (35.2°C on April 3 despite late showers), but heightened rainfall near historical averages introduces uncertainty, consistent with April climatology where equatorial humidity and light winds typically yield 31–33°C peaks. Watch NEA's midday forecast update for refined shower timing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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