Latest Roshydromet forecasts and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting northerly winds advecting cool continental polar air amid persistent overcast skies and light precipitation risks that limit surface insolation and daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities—7°C at 28.5%, 8°C at 18.5%, 9°C at 16.5%, and 6°C at 13.5%—stems from ensemble spread, where drier members allow partial afternoon clearing for 8-9°C peaks, while cloudier runs cap temperatures nearer 6°C via enhanced boundary layer stability. This follows a cooling trend from recent mild highs of 15-16°C on April 2-4. Watch 12Z model updates and Roshydromet bulletins for refinements; resolution uses NOAA-verified Vnukovo Airport data, with early April climatology averaging 6-9°C highs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
7°C 29%
8°C 19%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
5°C or below
4%
6°C
14%
7°C
29%
8°C
19%
9°C
18%
10°C
5%
11°C
5%
12°C
6%
13°C
6%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
7°C 29%
8°C 19%
9°C 18%
6°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
6 abr 2026
5°C or below
$617 Vol.
4%
6°C
$316 Vol.
14%
7°C
$317 Vol.
29%
8°C
$401 Vol.
19%
9°C
$441 Vol.
18%
10°C
$301 Vol.
5%
11°C
$272 Vol.
5%
12°C
$626 Vol.
6%
13°C
$488 Vol.
6%
14°C
$1,345 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$795 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Roshydromet forecasts and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting northerly winds advecting cool continental polar air amid persistent overcast skies and light precipitation risks that limit surface insolation and daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities—7°C at 28.5%, 8°C at 18.5%, 9°C at 16.5%, and 6°C at 13.5%—stems from ensemble spread, where drier members allow partial afternoon clearing for 8-9°C peaks, while cloudier runs cap temperatures nearer 6°C via enhanced boundary layer stability. This follows a cooling trend from recent mild highs of 15-16°C on April 2-4. Watch 12Z model updates and Roshydromet bulletins for refinements; resolution uses NOAA-verified Vnukovo Airport data, with early April climatology averaging 6-9°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
Volume
$5,919Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Roshydromet forecasts and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting northerly winds advecting cool continental polar air amid persistent overcast skies and light precipitation risks that limit surface insolation and daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities—7°C at 28.5%, 8°C at 18.5%, 9°C at 16.5%, and 6°C at 13.5%—stems from ensemble spread, where drier members allow partial afternoon clearing for 8-9°C peaks, while cloudier runs cap temperatures nearer 6°C via enhanced boundary layer stability. This follows a cooling trend from recent mild highs of 15-16°C on April 2-4. Watch 12Z model updates and Roshydromet bulletins for refinements; resolution uses NOAA-verified Vnukovo Airport data, with early April climatology averaging 6-9°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,919Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Roshydromet forecasts and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader consensus toward a 7°C high in Moscow on April 6, reflecting northerly winds advecting cool continental polar air amid persistent overcast skies and light precipitation risks that limit surface insolation and daytime heating. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities—7°C at 28.5%, 8°C at 18.5%, 9°C at 16.5%, and 6°C at 13.5%—stems from ensemble spread, where drier members allow partial afternoon clearing for 8-9°C peaks, while cloudier runs cap temperatures nearer 6°C via enhanced boundary layer stability. This follows a cooling trend from recent mild highs of 15-16°C on April 2-4. Watch 12Z model updates and Roshydromet bulletins for refinements; resolution uses NOAA-verified Vnukovo Airport data, with early April climatology averaging 6-9°C highs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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