Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 4 at 13-15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying 58.5% odds for 14°C or higher and 24.5% for exactly 13°C, as cloud cover and northwesterly winds moderate a persistent warm anomaly. This follows March 31's record 17.5°C high and April 2-3 forecasts reaching 15-18°C, driven by high-pressure ridging over European Russia advecting milder Atlantic air masses—well above the early April climatological average of 8-11°C. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with potential for increased overcast skies to cap peaks at 12°C (15.5% odds); watch for updated 12z runs from NOAA and European models this afternoon, alongside Roshydromet observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 4?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 4?
14°C or higher 60%
13°C 17%
12°C 16%
11°C 8.1%
NOVO
NOVO
4 abr 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C or higher
60%
14°C or higher 60%
13°C 17%
12°C 16%
11°C 8.1%
NOVO
NOVO
4 abr 2026
4°C or below
$781 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$401 Vol.
1%
8°C
$925 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$574 Vol.
1%
10°C
$746 Vol.
4%
11°C
$459 Vol.
8%
12°C
$402 Vol.
16%
13°C
$396 Vol.
17%
14°C or higher
$590 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 4 at 13-15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying 58.5% odds for 14°C or higher and 24.5% for exactly 13°C, as cloud cover and northwesterly winds moderate a persistent warm anomaly. This follows March 31's record 17.5°C high and April 2-3 forecasts reaching 15-18°C, driven by high-pressure ridging over European Russia advecting milder Atlantic air masses—well above the early April climatological average of 8-11°C. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with potential for increased overcast skies to cap peaks at 12°C (15.5% odds); watch for updated 12z runs from NOAA and European models this afternoon, alongside Roshydromet observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,561Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 4 at 13-15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying 58.5% odds for 14°C or higher and 24.5% for exactly 13°C, as cloud cover and northwesterly winds moderate a persistent warm anomaly. This follows March 31's record 17.5°C high and April 2-3 forecasts reaching 15-18°C, driven by high-pressure ridging over European Russia advecting milder Atlantic air masses—well above the early April climatological average of 8-11°C. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with potential for increased overcast skies to cap peaks at 12°C (15.5% odds); watch for updated 12z runs from NOAA and European models this afternoon, alongside Roshydromet observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,561Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 4 at 13-15°C, aligning with trader consensus implying 58.5% odds for 14°C or higher and 24.5% for exactly 13°C, as cloud cover and northwesterly winds moderate a persistent warm anomaly. This follows March 31's record 17.5°C high and April 2-3 forecasts reaching 15-18°C, driven by high-pressure ridging over European Russia advecting milder Atlantic air masses—well above the early April climatological average of 8-11°C. Inherent model uncertainty persists, with potential for increased overcast skies to cap peaks at 12°C (15.5% odds); watch for updated 12z runs from NOAA and European models this afternoon, alongside Roshydromet observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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